Best NFL Team Win Totals Bets for the 2022-23 Season

nfl-win-totals-1

nfl-win-totals-1

The 2022-2023 regular season is finally here. We do not have to go another week without football until next year. This season will be full of great NFL action and, more importantly, great betting options.

Season-long win totals are a great way to add excitement to the entire NFL season. Placing a win totals bet early in the year adds more drama to every game. You can get the thrill of wagering every week without needing the bankroll to back it up.

There are 32 NFL franchises and each of them has its own win totals wager. Keep reading to find out which teams in each conference offer the most win totals betting odds this NFL season.

What Are NFL Win Totals Bets?

So, what are win totals bets? Oddsmakers predict the overall record of each team before the season starts. Then, bettors can wager on whether teams will exceed their projected wins for that season or not.

NFL betting markets do not want a tie, so you will often see win projections listed in half-games. For instance, the Bills are listed at over/under 11.5 wins for this season. Bookmakers use this format to ensure that bettors are either right or wrong in their wagers.

Where to Find the Best NFL Betting Odds

Top Betting Sites

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20Bet
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Bet365 is a great sportsbook destination for anyone who enjoys live sports betting. They also feature a wide variety of promotions throughout the year.

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888sport is a great place to bet on sports online. They feature a variety of specials bets and have an impressive racebook as well.

See All Sports Betting Sites

There are a ton of great win totals betting markets available for this season. However, before you can take advantage of them you will need a great football betting site. Our NFL betting experts are here to help you pick the right sportsbook for you.

We have spent countless hours reviewing online NFL sportsbooks over the years. That is why we can confidently say that we have found the best NFL betting sites for this season. According to our experts, the best football sportsbooks for the 2022-2023 season are:

All of the sites above will offer competitive betting odds every week of this upcoming season. Also, they make it easy to create an account and even offer great bonuses for new members. Sign up today so you can begin placing your NFL season win totals bets.

AFC Win Totals Odds 2022-2023

AFC North
AFC East
AFC South
AFC West

Ravens o/u 10 wins
Bills o/u 11.5 wins
Colts o/u 9.5 wins
Chiefs o/u 10.5 wins

Bengals o/u 9.5 wins
Dolphins o/u 8.5 wins
Titans o/u 9 wins
Chargers o/u 10.5 wins

Browns o/u 8 wins
Patriots o/u 8.5 wins
Jaguars o/u 6.5 wins
Broncos o/u 9.5 wins

Steelers o/u 7.5 wins
Jets o/u 5.5 wins
Texans o/u 4.5 wins
Raiders o/u 8.5 wins

The table above has all the preseason win totals for every team in the AFC. As you can see, almost every division race is projected to be a tight one this season. The AFC East is the only division whose top teams are separated by more than half a game.

Here are three teams’ win totals I think offer the best value this season.

Tennessee Titans (+110) Over 9 Wins

The Titans earned the first overall seed in the AFC last season. RB Derrick Henry ran through defenses with ease for the first two months of the season. Tennessee was able to hold on to one seed even though Henry broke his foot on Halloween.

This season the Titans’ formula should be much the same as it has been every year under HC Mike Vrabel. Tennessee will run the ball as much as possible to keep QB Ryan Tannehill from having to throw it. A healthy Henry will be especially important this season now that WR AJ Brown is in Philadelphia.

Wink Martindale: Derrick Henry is a modern-day Jim Brown. https://t.co/HPHy04w7fh

— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) September 7, 2022

10 wins should be easy enough for the Titans to come by. They should sweep the Jaguars and Texans, so that is four wins right there. If they can at least split with Indy that will get them to five.

Can Tennessee find five wins outside of their division? Absolutely.

The AFC South plays the NFC East this season, arguably the worst division in football. Tennessee also proved last year that they can beat the top AFC teams in the regular season.

Kansas City Chiefs (-140) Over 10.5 Wins

The Chiefs have won the AFC West for six straight years. Kansas City could be knocked off their pedestal this season, but they will not go down without a fight. Even after starting 3-4 last season, the Chiefs finished 12-5.

Patrick Mahomes will have to adjust to now having WR Tyreek Hill this season. Also, the rest of the AFC West all made aggressive moves this offseason to close the gap. I still think it is unwise to bet against Kansas City despite those obstacles.

First and foremost, the Chiefs are great in games against the AFC West. Kansas City has not lost to Denver since 2015. Even if the Chiefs only go 3-3 in division games, that still puts them in good shape to reach 11 wins.

The AFC West plays the AFC South and the NFC West this season. Jacksonville, Houston, and Seattle should provide easy wins for the Chiefs. Kansas City also has the benefit of facing some of its toughest opponents, like the Bills, Titans, and Rams, at home this season.

New York Jets (+125) Under 5.5 Wins

One of the safest bets in NFL history is betting against the Jets to win. The much-maligned franchise has the longest active postseason drought in the NFL. New York has not made the playoffs in the last 11 seasons.

The Jets do not need to make the playoffs to cover their 5.5 wins total bet. However, they do have to win two more games than they did last season. That sounds easy to do, but this is the Jets we are talking about.

Coach Saleh says that likely the earliest QB Zach Wilson will be available is Week 4 at Pittsburgh. pic.twitter.com/3buMD5xqTb

— New York Jets (@nyjets) September 7, 2022

QB Zach Wilson was supposed to only miss Week 1 after suffering a knee injury in the preseason. Now the second year QB is out until at least Week 4. New York will turn to QB Joe Flacco while Wilson works his way back from knee surgery.

To make matters worse, the AFC West plays the NFC North and AFC North this season. The Jets will be lucky to go 2-6 against those divisions this season. I would take the under on this bet because I do not see how the Jets win six games this season.

NFC Win Totals Odds 2022-2023

NFC North
NFC East
NFC South
NFC West

Packers o/u 10.5 wins
Cowboys o/u 10 wins
Buccaneers o/u 11.5 wins
Rams o/u 10.5 wins

Vikings o/u 9.5 wins
Eagles o/u 9.5 wins
Saints o/u 8.5 wins
49ers o/u 9.5 wins

Lions o/u 6.5 wins
Commanders o/u 8 wins
Panthers o/u 6.5 wins
Cardinals o/u 8.5 wins

Bears o/u 6 wins
Giants o/u 7 wins
Falcons o/u 4.5 wins
Seahawks o/u 5.5 wins

Win totals in the NFC look drastically different than those in the AFC. The drop-off between the top teams and the rest of the conference is glaring. Here are three NFC win totals bets that I think offer the most value this season.

Green Bay Packers (+140) Under 10.5 Wins

Green Bay has won at least 13 games every season under HC Matt LaFleur. QB Aaron Rodgers has also won back-to-back MVPs and is looking to three-peat this season. However, there are two major obstacles in the Packers’ way this season.

First and foremost, WR Davante Adams is now Las Vegas. That means that Green Bay will enter the season with Allen Lazard and Sammy Watkins as its top WRs. Yikes.

Also, the Packers have a first-place schedule once again this season. Rodgers and company will have to face off with the Buccaneers, Bills, and Rams. Only one of those games, a December matchup with LA, will be at home.

The Vikings should also be better this season and prove some competition in the division. A tougher schedule and weaker offense could cost the Packers this season. Luckily, a 10-win season should still earn a playoff berth even if it doesn’t cover their win totals bet.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-160) Under 11.5 Wins

Tampa Bay has also had a great run in the last two seasons since Tom Brady join the team. Brady and company are 24-9 in the regular season since he made the move to the NFC. This year, however, presents new challenges for the G.O.A.T. and the Buccaneers.

For one, Todd Bowles is taking over as the head coach. He may not be calling plays on offense, but it is a fair bet that he will be more conservative than Bruce Arians. Also, all the injuries on offense could limit Tampa Bay even more.

Bucs coach Todd Bowles does what he can to see the glass as half full, as it relates to Tom Brady’s 11-day absence from August. https://t.co/ExOnxRGbgl

— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) September 7, 2022

To make matters worse, the Buccaneers did not get any breaks with their schedule. They open on the road against Dallas and New Orleans before welcoming Kansas City and Green Bay to town. A 2-2 start, or worse, is not out of the question.

Tom Brady is also facing new issues off the field. It is still unclear why Brady needed an 11-day absence in training camp, but it is unlikely for good reasons. All in all, it is easy to see the Bucs having at least six losses this season.

Philadelphia Eagles (-160) Over 9.5 Wins

The Eagles are arguably the team that took the biggest step forward this offseason in the NFC. Philly added a ton of great defensive talent in the Draft. Also, the Eagles acquired WR AJ Brown to pair with DeVonta Smith.

Brown and Smith immediately become one of the best WR duos in the conference. A great WR corps and a much-improved defense should give the Eagles a shot at winning the NFC East. Philly should sweep the Giants and Commanders and at least split with the regressing Cowboys.

A 5-1 division record means the Eagles only need five more wins to cover their win totals bet. They should also pick up easy wins against the Lions, Bears, Jaguars, and Texans. That would mean Philly just needs one win in its other seven games to cover.

Conclusion

Win totals bets are a great way to make every week of the NFL season even more thrilling. Also, because you only place one bet, they are awesome for bettors on a budget. My picks for the best value bets can be found above.

For help betting on the NFL. check out these other blogs from our football experts.

Shaun Stack

Shaun Stack, a native of the state of Kansas, has been a lifelong fan of all sports. Shaun has a Bachelor of Science in Psychology from the University of Pittsburgh Bradford. He began writing for GamblingSites.org in 2021. …

View all posts by Shaun Stack

Author: Eric Robinson